Statistics

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rating		Only games where both players are rated
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Kick 53.6% Receive 46.4% ± 1.2% of 6740 games

Guilds Guilds Captains Captains Matchup analyzer Matchup analyzer

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Win % Games
59.5% ±  3.7%  661
Win % Games
57.9% ±  3.1%  972
Win % Games
57.7% ±  2.7% 1253
Win % Games
53.3% ±  3.1% 1002
Win % Games
51.8% ±  3.3%  877
Win % Games
51.0% ±  6.2%  250
Win % Games
51.0% ±  2.8% 1241
Win % Games
50.2% ±  3.1% 1031
Win % Games
49.9% ±  4.1%  562
Win % Games
47.4% ±  3.3%  880
Win % Games
47.3% ±  3.8%  674
Win % Games
46.5% ±  3.1% 1000
Win % Games
46.1% ±  3.3%  877
Win % Games
46.0% ±  4.8%  411
Win % Games
44.5% ±  3.2%  904
Win % Games
43.7% ±  4.4%  485
Win % Games
43.2% ±  4.2%  546
Win % Games
39.5% ±  4.1%  541

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Win % Games
61.5% ±  5.4%  317
Win % Games
61.0% ±  4.1%  546
Win % Games
60.8% ±  5.0%  365
Win % Games
59.6% ±  3.7%  659
Win % Games
59.3% ±  4.4%  469
Win % Games
56.6% ±  3.7%  678
Win % Games
56.4% ±  6.5%  227
Win % Games
53.4% ±  4.2%  545
Win % Games
53.1% ±  3.8%  657
Win % Games
53.1% ±  5.1%  375
Win % Games
52.4% ±  7.2%  185
Win % Games
51.6% ±  5.9%  275
Win % Games
51.0% ±  6.2%  249
Win % Games
50.1% ±  4.1%  570
Win % Games
50.0% ±  5.4%  328
Win % Games
49.9% ±  4.1%  561
Win % Games
49.5% ±  5.0%  378
Win % Games
48.4% ±  7.8%  159
Win % Games
47.9% ±  6.7%  215
Win % Games
47.6% ±  9.6%  103
Win % Games
47.2% ±  3.8%  672
Win % Games
47.0% ±  7.6%  166
Win % Games
47.0% ±  5.1%  361
Win % Games
46.8% ±  9.4%  109
Win % Games
46.6% ±  5.4%  322
Win % Games
46.3% ±  4.0%  601
Win % Games
46.0% ±  4.8%  409
Win % Games
45.3% ±  9.0%  117
Win % Games
45.0% ±  4.7%  428
Win % Games
44.9% ±  6.2%  246
Win % Games
44.9% ±  6.7%  214
Win % Games
44.6% ±  8.9%  121
Win % Games
43.7% ±  4.4%  485
Win % Games
43.2% ±  4.2%  542
Win % Games
42.5% ±  5.5%  313
Win % Games
40.8% ±  7.0%  191
Win % Games
40.5% ±  6.5%  222
Win % Games
40.2% ±  9.8%   97
Win % Games
40.2% ±  8.9%  117
Win % Games
38.4% ±  9.6%   99
Win % Games
37.9% ±  9.8%   95
Win % Games
35.3% ± 11.4%   68

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The fine print

The data shown here are rigorously calculated but intended for entertainment purposes only.

Confidence intervals

Where a ± symbol is shown, a 95% confidence interval is used. A smaller confidence interval indicates that a value is more certain.

The GhostDeer Index

This chart shows the win rate and play rate of each guild or captain relative to all other guilds or all other captains. If a guild or captain hasn't been released for as long as the others, its play rate is extrapolated assuming its average play rate would continue.

Bar graphs

Bar graphs in the matchup analyzer show the likelihood of a matchup being won by either side. The shuttle – a dark band in the middle of the bar – shows where the win probability lies. The width of the shuttle represents the size of the confidence interval for that prediction. A bar graph with a smaller shuttle is more certain.

Missing information

To reduce the possibility for misinterpretation, values may be hidden until enough games are reported to be statistically meaningful. Guilds with fewer than ten games or a confidence interval larger than 15% are hidden. Captains with fewer than five games or a confidence interval larger than 20% are hidden. Matchups with fewer than three games are hidden on the matchup analyzer.

Guild Ball and its associated names, images, and logos are property of Steamforged Games Ltd.
Everything else © 2020 Windy City Game Lab